"Prevention is better than cure."
The earlier each stage in the sequence of management-led correction - informal creditor workout - business rescue starts on the timeline of financial distress, the better the chances of successful business rescue should the first two processes fail, or the better the chance that formal business rescue can be avoided in the first place.
Formal business rescue can often be avoided through turnaround management in the informal sector. This takes the form of timeous and effective reaction to early warning signals of distress, and improved reaction to acute and worsening problems, when the Z-Score starts showing a negative trend, and not later than the Z-Score entering the Danger Zone.
The late timing of business rescue commencement represents a major obstacle to turnaround viability.
An informal sector turnaround should ideally commence at the latest when a company enters the Danger Zone.
In practice, however, management-led correction and informal creditor workouts already suffer from late starts, or they take too long before taking the shape of a serious turnaround intervention.
Once in the Failing Zone, the business is, in the absence of turnaround action, likely to be liquidated within a year unless business rescue is attempted.
View the timeline of financial distress diagram.
Click on Timeline of financial distress table for a popup table explaining the four stages.
Go to Business rescue to read about this 3rd stage in the timeline of financial distress, the objectives and benefits of business rescue, its cost, and success rate.
The reason for the unnecessary high failure rate of business rescue internationally is that it is deemed to be a measure of last resort - often postponed until the company is in an advanced stage of distress.
This may lead to reckless or insolvent trading.
The late timing of business rescue commencement represents a major obstacle to its viability.
Although the current Companies Act provides for personal liability of directors in certain limited cases, section 93 of the new Bill goes all the way by making directors personally liable to companies and others who suffered losses because of misleading financial statements, untrue annual reports and reckless carrying on of a company’s business.
In addition to personal liability, section 215 of the Bill makes reckless management and failure to comply criminal offences subject to 10 years imprisonment and high fines.
If business rescue is left too late, it will present the supervisor with the most difficult scenario possible - that of free fall business rescue.
Free fall business rescue refers to placing a company under supervision as a last resort when it has run out of cash and cannot meet its creditor obligations anymore.
Such cases are normally dead on arrival. By this time the situation has deteriorated so far that the realm of the "deep turnaround" has been entered into:
Overseas experience shows that business rescue attempts once already insolvent and out of cash has a lower success rate than those that started earlier.
In the USA the free fall approach to Chapter 11 of old is more and more replaced by pre-packaged Chapter 11. The same trend is evident in the UK.
Pre-packaged business rescue involves timeously devising a sale, or a business rescue plan inclusive of financial restructuring and agreements for post-commencement finance, as well as agreements with all affected persons, when it is clear that there is not enough time to turn the company around before insolvency has set in.
This takes place prior to the company being placed under supervision when it still has borrowing capacity, and intact management, systems, and supplier and customer relations.
The company is then placed under supervision before or when insolvency has set in to obtain the legal benefits such as the moratorium on the rights of claimants against the company or in respect of property in its possession.
The resultant business rescue cost and total cost of the overall exercise is much cheaper, business rescue takes shorter, and the success rate and claim holder recovery rate is higher than free fall business rescue.
Since the supervisor must be independent of the company, and cannot appoint advisors to the supervisor or to the company that are not independent of the supervisor and the company, it would seem that advisors involved in preparing the pre-packaged business rescue cannot become the supervisor, nor can they be appointed by the supervisor (but they can be appointed by management).
It seems that statutory recognition to translate out-of-court practice into the legal business rescue framework in terms of pre-packages solutions and recognition of the workout advisors as "independent advisors" will be beneficial to business rescue outcomes.
"It is far easier to tread on an acorn than an oak tree".
For more information, see the articles on pre-packaged business rescue in the box on the right.
In statistical terms, the purpose of business rescue is to avoid making a Type 1 error, which is liquidating potentially viable businesses that should be rescued.
Conversely, Type 2 error refers to attempting to rescue lost cases that should be liquidated.
The cost of Type 2 error is the cost associated with the unsuccessful rescue attempt plus the cost of subsequent liquidation.
Supervisors need to be trained and educated to recognise hopeless cases early on during the business rescue process to enable them to speedily terminate business rescue proceedings allowing liquidation to proceed without delay.
South Africa has the ideal opportunity to craft and formalise the most suitable modern business rescue regime.
The merits of draft new business rescue legislation are presently under debate:
This far the dti distributed the draft legislation for comment and held a business rescue panel discussion at the Companies Bill Conference 19 - 20 March 2006.
"The Department of Trade and Industry has started a consultation process with industry. In the period leading up to the adoption of the draft business rescue legislation, there will be intensive engagement with all stakeholders. This will include the evaluation of public comments, the redrafting of difficult sections of the law, amendments to the technical omissions and the resubmission to key stakeholders for further input."
The rest of the promised consultation process has not been clarified yet, but industry wish to engage with government with regard to its questions, clarifications sought and contributions made.
The debtor-friendly nature of the draft legislation is foreign the creditor-friendly culture and experience of South Africa, with vested interests in a creditor-friendly approach.
The dti needs to produce an Explanatory Memorandum and launch further initiatives to sell the merits of debtor-friendly legislation to industry.
To make Chapter 6 work, legal convergence and uniformity are required between the debtor-friendly Companies Act and creditor-friendly insolvency legislation, as discussed under "The debtor-friendly versus creditor-friendly debate" on the business rescue legislation page.
Experience commercial judges must be available at short notice.
The normal court system is unlikely to be appropriate for business rescue. What is required is a specialised statutory tribunal in which creditors will have confidence.
Experience commercial judges must be available at short notice.
ABASA - Association of Business Administrators of South Africa was established as in industry proposed business rescue regulatory body in 2004, and has applied to government for official recognition.
ABASA has set appropriate admission criteria for supervisors as discussed under "Need for regulation of supervisors" on the business rescue legislation page, and will ensure that its members carry out their duties in a professional and ethical manner.
The Turnaround Management Association - Southern Africa (TMA-SA) promotes the turnaround industry, and serves as forum for turnaround professionals of all disciplines to associate for purposes of information exchange, networking, education, and raising standards in the turnaround industry.
The members of TMA-SA are active in management correction, informal creditor workout and business rescue (the first 3 stages timeline of financial distress).
TMA-SA has accepted the challenge to make new business rescue legislation work in South Africa.
TMA-SA will participate in the consultation with government about the draft business rescue legislation, will educate its members about business rescue and will collect and disseminate information about business rescue.
Based on the Certified Turnaround Practitioner example, a supervisor should pass an exam consisting of 3 modules:
As discussed as discussed under "Supervisor exam " on the business rescue legislation page, TMA-SA can assist in setting up such an exam, either as a customised South African version of the international CTP exam, or as a home-grown initiative.
Companies entering business rescue proceedings do so because they have or will run out of cash.
Post-commencement finance as envisaged in Section 138 of the Companies Bill, 2007 is unlikely to be of much practical value in free fall business rescue, since by that time the distressed company will invariably already be without borrowing capacity.
Even troubled companies which enter pre-packaged business rescue early enough in the process may find it hard to find lenders.
Accordingly, there remains a strong need for a more active turnaround private equity industry in South Africa that not only invests in underperforming businesses and businesses requiring financial restructuring, but also invests in distressed businesses too.
It is envisaged that the business rescue legislation will stimulate the market for distressed situation private equity.
Government can also play a role through the establishment of a turnaround fund via the National Empowerment Fund for instance.
Business rescue cannot happen without a cheque book.
Whilst it is very difficult to find statistics in this regard, the success rate of business rescue overseas is lower than may be expected - less than 47% in the UK for instance (see business rescue).
Whilst its new business rescue legislation will make a major impact on successfully rescuing troubled companies, South Africa runs the risk of creating false expectations of new business rescue legislation being a panacea for its liquidation problems.
Moreover, there is a need to learn more about business rescue outcomes to enable lawmakers and turnaround practitioners to devise new and improved approaches and methodologies to increase the success rate of business rescue in future.
We therefore call for a scorecard to measure and the track the success of all business rescue attempts:
Search internet or web site
Business Rescue Search Engine
Business rescue cost research articles
Costs of Reorganizing Under Chapter 11: Some Evidence from the 1980s (Robert Nachtmann, Professor of Business Administration and Associate Dean Katz Graduate School of Business, of the University of Pittsburgh, Henry McMillan of Transamerica Corporation and Fred Phillips-Patrick of the Department of Treasury, Journal of Corporate Renewal, 1 August 1999)
(123k)
The Security Price Effects Of Public Debt Defaults (Brian L. Betker, Assistant Professor of Finance at Ohio State University, Journal of Financial Research, 22 March 1998)
(145k)
Business rescue success rate research articles
Study on bankruptcy case confirmation rates (US Department of Justice 1998)
(151k)
Bankruptcy By The Numbers (Dr. Gordon Bermant and Ed Flynn Executive Office for United States Trustees)
(51k)
Pre-packaged business rescue research articles
Insolvency Outcomes: Research Findings (Dr. Sandra Frisby, Baker & McKenzie Lecturer in Company and Commercial Law, University of Nottingham, 27 July 2006)
(343k)
The Choice Among Traditional Chapter 11, Pre-packaged Bankruptcy, and Out-of-Court Restructuring (Keven Yost, School of Business, University of Wisconsin – Madison Krannert Graduate School of Management, Purdue University September, 2002)
(117k)
Outcomes in Pre-packaged Bankruptcies (Ronald C. Lease, Professor of Finance, University of Utah, David Eccles School of Business; John J. McConnell, Professor of Management, Purdue University, Krannert School of Management; Elizabeth Tashjian, Associate Professor of Finance, University of Utah, March 2000)
(391k)
An Empirical Examination of Pre-packaged Bankruptcy (Brian L. Betker is Assistant Professor of Finance at Ohio State University, 22 March 1995 )
(182k)